Power Rankings and Winning the Strike Zone

MLB Power Rankings

 

Another week, another Talk Back Fans Major League Baseball Power Rankings.  We’ve found a little glitch in the formula (too much weight put on the last 10 days), but we’ll most likely get to fixing that after the season (mostly because Danny Boyce actually cares about his job and feels that his “customers are important”.  In a related story we all at Talk Back Fans are flat out irate at Danny Boy’s complete negligence and the fact that he cares more about the people who actually give him a paycheck.  The nerve of that jackass).  Anyway, here we go!!

 

#30 Kansas City Royals (25-58, -158, LW:  30)

#29 Baltimore Orioles (24-59, -123, LW:  29)

#28 Chicago White Sox (29-54, -109, LW:  28)

#27 New York Mets (33-48, -58, LW:  27)

As the calendar turned from April to May the Mets were 17-9 with a game and a half lead in the NL East and Mickey Calloway’s managerial debut was looking very sharp.  Since then the Mets have been outscored by 72 runs while going 16-39 and dropping into fourth place.  June was particularly rough, going 5-21 while giving up five runs per game.  Offseason signee Jay Bruce has been awful, posting a 72 OPS+ before landing on the DL.  It seems like a matter of time before Jacob deGrom and his 206 ERA+ is moved in exchange for prospects.  On the bright side it sounds like Bobby Bonilla’s check cleared yesterday.

 

#26 Detroit Tigers (37-48, -54, LW:  25)

#25 San Diego Padres (37-49, -66, LW:  26)

#24 Minnesota Twins (35-45, -34, LW:  21)

Byron Buxton currently has an OPS+ of 7.  You can be the defensive equivalent of Willie Mays in center field and it still wouldn’t justify giving at bats to a player with an OPS+ of 7.  In fact, most of the team has been bad at the plate.  Joe Mauer has a 103 OPS+ and that’s good enough for third for the regulars.  One bright spot has been Eddie Rosario, who’s OPS of .924 is good enough for eighth in the American League.  Just three years ago he led the Junior Circuit in triples, but his power has really come along, slugging .530 over the last two year.  The Twins have been somewhat of a disappointment this year, but the emergence of Rosario has been a pleasant surprise.

 

#23 Miami Marlins (34-51, -110, LW:  23)

#22 Washington Nationals (42-40, +32, LW:  20)

#21 Colorado Rockies (41-43, -46, LW:  22)

#20 Los Angeles Angels (43-42, +17, LW:  19)

#19 Pittsburgh Pirates (40-43, -6, LW:  24)

#18 St. Louis Cardinals (42-40, +6, LW:  15)

#17 Toronto Blue Jays (39-44, -39, LW:  16)

#16 Texas Rangers (38-47, -46, LW:  18)

#15 Cincinnati Reds (36-48, -34, LW:  17)

After a horrific start the Reds have been a .500 club under Jim Riggleman and while Scooter Gennett has swung the bat well (140 OPS+) the 2010 National League MVP Joey Votto just quietly hits away in the Queen City.  A second round pick in 2002 out of the Richview Collegiate Institute in Toronto, he leads the NL in OBP for the third year in a row and for the seventh time in the last nine seasons.  When it’s all said and done he will go down as one of the 20 greatest hitters ever.

 

#14 Philadelphia Phillies (45-37, +6, LW:  13)

#13 Milwaukee Brewers (48-35, +47, LW:  8)

#12 Tampa Bay Rays (42-41, +5, LW:  14)

#11 Los Angeles Dodgers (44-39, +51, LW:  6)

#10 Oakland Athletics (46-39, +8, LW:  10)

#9 Chicago Cubs (47-35, +99, LW:  11)

#8 San Francisco Giants (45-40, -12, LW:  12)

#7 Arizona Diamondbacks (47-37, +54, LW:  5)

Paul Goldschmidt through June 3 had a .721 OPS.  Since then he’s had a 1.271 OPS and for the year is at .900.

 

#6 Cleveland Indians (45-37, +66, LW:  3)

#5 Atlanta Braves (48-34, +82, LW:  7)

#4 Seattle Mariners (54-31, +22, LW:  9)

#3 Boston Red Sox (56-29, +119, LW:  3)

#2 New York Yankees (54-27, +111, LW:  2)

#1 Houston Astros (55-31, +170, LW:  1)

 

This week’s Talk Back Fans Stat Strike Zone Winning Percentage.  Obviously a lot goes into winning baseball games.  One of the many factors is how well a team controls the strike zone.  Strike Zone Winning Percentage is one way of measuring this.  All it involves is a team’s walks and strikeouts for both the hitters and pitchers.  The formula:

 

(Hitters BB x Pitchers SO) / ((Hitters BB x Pitchers SO) + (Hitters SO x Pitchers BB))

 

The Baltimore Orioles this season are awful.  Their hitters have struck out 740 times and have walked 229 times.  Their pitchers have struck out 640 batters and have walked 298 of them.  This calculates out to:

 

(229 x 640) / ((229 x 640) + (740 x 298)) = .399

 

Which is second worst in the league, ahead of only Chicago.  For the Astros:

 

(301 x 901) / ((301 x 901) + (674 x 281)) = .640

 

In the American League the top five teams (Astros, Indians, Yankees, Red Sox, and Mariners) are all of the teams that would be in the playoffs.  While only the Phillies rank in the top five of the NL’s current playoff qualifiers, years past have proven this to be a good indicator for current and future success.  One last quick example:  The top five teams in SZWP in 2016:

 

AL

x-Red Sox .572

x-Blue Jays .569

x-Indians .564

Yankees .556

Astros .540

 

NL

x-Giants .606

x-Cubs .588

x-Nationals .575

x-Dodgers .564

x-Mets .558

 

That’s eight of the ten playoff teams.  Well, ‘til next week . . .

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